Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.037587 0.040640 0.043848 0.047474 0.051464 0.055728 0.060638
2025-03-02 0.032709 0.037023 0.041809 0.047535 0.054224 0.061825 0.071160
2025-03-09 0.029024 0.033976 0.039699 0.046843 0.055580 0.065994 0.079458
2025-03-16 0.026151 0.031437 0.037744 0.045892 0.056237 0.069063 0.086375
2025-03-23 0.024096 0.029626 0.036408 0.045432 0.057266 0.072458 0.093765
2025-03-30 0.022407 0.028093 0.035234 0.044986 0.058148 0.075581 0.100899
2025-04-06 0.020779 0.026495 0.033824 0.044062 0.058237 0.077539 0.106465
2025-04-13 0.019907 0.025806 0.033526 0.044557 0.060222 0.082160 0.116104
2025-04-20 0.018953 0.024935 0.032908 0.044532 0.061426 0.085698 0.124379
2025-04-27 0.018305 0.024429 0.032738 0.045096 0.063470 0.090549 0.135005
2025-05-04 0.017458 0.023593 0.032047 0.044843 0.064258 0.093534 0.142903
2025-05-11 0.016716 0.022859 0.031451 0.044676 0.065133 0.096670 0.151258
2025-05-18 0.015959 0.022072 0.030744 0.044309 0.065692 0.099372 0.159188
2025-05-25 0.015353 0.021473 0.030277 0.044272 0.066751 0.102935 0.168901
2025-06-01 0.014627 0.020660 0.029447 0.043615 0.066758 0.104742 0.175647
2025-06-08 0.013899 0.019809 0.028515 0.042737 0.066334 0.105769 0.181031
2025-06-15 0.013337 0.019182 0.027893 0.042313 0.066623 0.108013 0.188842
2025-06-22 0.012818 0.018596 0.027303 0.041903 0.066896 0.110227 0.196769
2025-06-29 0.012230 0.017880 0.026476 0.041054 0.066352 0.110928 0.201768
2025-07-06 0.011976 0.017670 0.026436 0.041509 0.068104 0.115903 0.215771
2025-07-13 0.011631 0.017303 0.026126 0.041486 0.068997 0.119334 0.226928
2025-07-20 0.011420 0.017139 0.026135 0.042005 0.070890 0.124783 0.242876
2025-07-27 0.011067 0.016732 0.025726 0.041772 0.071382 0.127549 0.253284